Madagascar's future

Résumé du document

The Republic of Madagascar often called the island continent due to it's area. It is located on the South East African coast, in the Indian Ocean. Madagascar is the fifth biggest island in the world. It stretches 1580 km from the North to the south and 500 km from the East to the West. Its capital is Antananarivo and it is located in the middle of the island. The Island has as neighbours, Comoros, Reunion Island, Republic of Mauritius, Seychelles and on the African continent Mozambique. One of the important characteristics of Madagascar is its economy is dependent on the Malagasy environment. First of all, the island continent is identified by the scientists as incredibly biodiverse. Moreover, according to the UNESCO, 80% to 90% of the species are endemic. Unfortunately with the global warming, over the past year this biodiversity has been threatened. Secondly, the climate plays an important role in the country's economy as agriculture is the main sector of activity. Thirdly, deforestation is also a raising matter for both global warming and the economy of the country. Environmentally, deforestation negatively impacts the general equilibrium of the nature which may lead to irreversible effects.

Extraits

[...] Scenario planning (Figure night mare” Madagascar is in the storm. Nothing goes well on the island continent. The country regresses in all fields. Whereas the country became a republic in 1960, today Madagascar is becoming communist regime. After having seen the China growth success and due to the influence that Chinese foreign investments have on the country, Malagasy leaders have chosen to adopt the same political regime. However it was not without consequences. Many people have been killed during manifestations against the power. [...]

[...] Economically the global warming has significant consequences for Madagascar given that its main exports remain agriculture, prawn and textile. All of these sectors are directly concerned by the climate. wish” Malagasy population is resigned but wish secretly to think that it is possible for Madagascar to become a real democracy. However global warming is experiencing a recession thanks to the agreements that biggest polluters had concluded to stop climate change. Climate impacts like dryness and tornados are less common and consequently less affect agriculture and other sectors linked with the environment. [...]

[...] To conclude on the scenario politically, Madagascar has made many efforts to be more democratic which is positive for the country. However due to global warming and its consequences on the environment and natural resources, Madagascar is still struggling. The economic growth of the country is mediocre. The population is always poor without food and healthcare provided. This scenario is likely to turn into reality, just because the world's biggest economic powers do not want to 'punish' their industries through environmental measures which would reduce their competitiveness. [...]

[...] fear” Madagascar is good democracy as Malagasy people expected for a long time. Opposition groups and government came to an agreement. The power is not in one hand but all political groups are represented; thus all Malagasy people are listened. The country opens is border to foreign investments and Government injects money into sectors like education and healthcare. The island continent is proud of the elimination of Child Labour and literacy rate is higher since children stay longer at school; even for few of them, they become graduates. [...]

[...] According to the Mauritian programme for adaptive actions to the climate change in 2007, water warmed up by 1.5 year-to-year and the water temperature will continue to increase for years. This water causes a bleaching and a destruction of coral reef. Coral reefs are also affected by tornados and tsunamis, which are more and more common. Consequently that impacts the fishing resources. Madagascar faces to a loss of revenues and experiences a loss of fishing jobs. Furthermore, new dramatic global warming impacts will appear on the island. [...]